Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Fed Hikes 2011 Inflation View and Cuts GDP Outlook

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The Federal Reserve hiked its forecast for inflation and cut its economic growth view, though the central bank's board members and presidents have become more optimistic on the jobless rate. The Fed now sees the U.S. economy growing between 3.1% and 3.3% this year, down from a prior projection of 3.4% to 3.9% but still above Wall Street economist views around 2.9%. On inflation, they now see the price index for personal consumption expenditure growing between 2.1% and 2.8% this year, compared to the view in January of 1.3% to 1.7% growth. Some but not much of the PCE increase has filtered into core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, which is now seen growing between 1.3% and 1.6%, vs. an earlier view of 1% to 1.3%. The unemployment rate however is now seen falling to a range of 8.4% and 8.7%, against an earlier estimate of 8.8% to 9%. The 2012 estimates aren't changed that much, though core PCE inflation is now seen ranging between 1.3% and 1.8%, up from 1% to 1.5%. The U.S. economy is seen growing between 3.5% and 4.2% in 2012 and between 3.5% and 4.3% in 2013.

Monday, April 18, 2011

Spring Purchase Market Update

Its very exciting to be coming into another spring purchase market. As the weather get warmer I am seeing a considerable amount of increased activity. I am hopful we will have a stronger purchase market this year than last.